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論文

Quantitative analysis of microstructure evolution, stress partitioning and thermodynamics in the dynamic transformation of Fe-14Ni alloy

Li, L.*; 宮本 吾郎*; Zhang, Y.*; Li, M.*; 諸岡 聡; 及川 勝成*; 友田 陽*; 古原 忠*

Journal of Materials Science & Technology, 184, p.221 - 234, 2024/06

 被引用回数:0 パーセンタイル:0(Materials Science, Multidisciplinary)

Dynamic transformation (DT) of austenite ($$gamma$$) to ferrite ($$alpha$$) in the hot deformation of various carbon steels was widely investigated. However, the nature of DT remains unclear due to the lack of quantitative analysis of stress partitioning between two phases and the uncertainty of local distribution of substitutional elements at the interface in multi-component carbon steels used in the previous studies. Therefore, in the present study, a binary Fe-Ni alloy with $$alpha$$+$$gamma$$ duplex microstructure in equilibrium was prepared and isothermally compressed in $$alpha$$+$$gamma$$ two-phase region to achieve quantitative analysis of microstructure evolution, stress partitioning and thermodynamics during DT. $$gamma$$ to $$alpha$$ DT during isothermal compression and $$alpha$$ to $$gamma$$ reverse transformation on isothermal annealing under unloaded condition after deformation were accompanied by Ni partitioning. The lattice strains during thermomechanical processing were obtained via in-situ neutron diffraction measurement, based on which the stress partitioning behavior between $$gamma$$ and $$alpha$$ was discussed by using the generalized Hooke's law. A thermodynamic framework for the isothermal deformation in solids was established based on the basic laws of thermodynamics, and it was shown that the total Helmholtz free energy change in the deformable material during the isothermal process should be smaller than the work done to the deformable material. Under the present thermodynamic framework, the microstructure evolution in the isothermal compression of Fe-14Ni alloy was well explained by considering the changes in chemical free energy, plastic and elastic energies and the work done to the material. In addition, the stabilization of the soft $$alpha$$ phase in Fe-14Ni alloy by deformation was rationalized since the $$gamma$$ to $$alpha$$ transformation decreased the total Helmholtz free energy by decreasing the elastic and dislocation energies.

論文

Distinguishing ion dynamics from muon diffusion in muon spin relaxation

伊藤 孝; 門野 良典*

Journal of the Physical Society of Japan, 93(4), p.044602_1 - 044602_7, 2024/04

 被引用回数:0

We propose a model to describe the fluctuations in the internal magnetic field due to ion dynamics observed in muon spin relaxation ($$mu$$SR) by an Edwards-Anderson-type autocorrelation function that separates the quasi-static and dynamic components of the correlation by the parameter $$Q$$ (where $$0leq Qleq 1$$). Our Monte Carlo simulations for this model showed that the time evolution of muon spin polarization deviates significantly from the Kubo-Toyabe function. To further validate the model, the results of simulations were compared with the $$mu$$SR spectra observed in a hybrid organic-inorganic perovskite FAPbI$$_3$$ [with FA referring to HC(NH$$_2$$)$$_2$$], where local field fluctuations associated with the rotational motion of FA molecules and quasi-static fields from the PbI$$_3$$ lattice are presumed to coexist. The least-squares curve fitting showed reasonable agreement with the model with $$Q=0.947(3)$$, and the fluctuation frequency of the dynamical component was obtained. This result opens the door to the possibility of experimentally distinguishing fluctuations due to the dynamics of ions around muons from those due to the self-diffusion of muons. On the other hand, it suggests the need to carefully consider the spin relaxation function when applying $$mu$$SR to the issue of ion dynamics.

論文

Effect of dissolved oxygen concentration on dynamic strain aging and stress corrosion cracking of SUS304 stainless steel under high temperature pressurized water

広田 憲亮; 中野 寛子; 藤田 善貴; 武内 伴照; 土谷 邦彦; 出村 雅彦*; 小林 能直*

The IV International Scientific Forum "Nuclear Science and Technologies"; AIP Conference Proceedings 3020, p.030007_1 - 030007_6, 2024/01

沸騰水型原子炉を模擬した高温高圧水中環境下では、溶存酸素量(DO)の変化により動的ひずみ時効(DSA)と粒界型応力腐食割れ(粒界SCC)がそれぞれ発生する。これらの現象の違いを明確に理解するために、その発生メカニズムを整理した。その結果、SUS304ステンレス鋼では、DOが1ppb未満の低濃度では粒内割れによるDSAが発生し、DOが100$$sim$$8500ppbでは表面の酸化膜形成によりDSAは抑制されることがわかった。一方、DOが20000ppbまで上昇すると、皮膜が母材から剥離し、母材の結晶粒界に酸素元素が拡散し、粒界SCCが発生した。これらの結果から、DSAや粒界SCCによるクラック発生を抑制するためには、最適なDO濃度を調整する必要があることが示唆された。

論文

Molecular dynamics analysis of reactor graphite for preparing thermal neutron scattering law

沖田 将一朗; 後藤 実

Proceedings of 12th International Conference on Nuclear Criticality Safety (ICNC2023) (Internet), 10 Pages, 2023/10

The recently released JENDL-5 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 have adopted porosity-dependent thermal neutron scattering law (TSL) data for reactor graphite, and they improve neutronic calculation accuracy of criticality for graphite-moderated cores. Currently, we can only handle neutronic calculations for three graphite porosities of 0%, 10%, and 30%. The uncertainties associated with the difference between the porosity of actual reactor graphite ($$sim$$20%) and the porosity remains. Toward the future update of JENDL-5, we are planning to preparing new TSL data of reactor graphite. As a first step, it is essential to evalute phonon density state distribution of reactor graphite. In this study, in order to evalute it, molecular dynamic (MD) analysis is performed for three MD models: ideal crystalline graphite (Ideal model), 20%-porous reactor graphite with monoatomic random pore (Monoatomic random model), and 20%-porous reactor graphite with atomic cluster random pore (Cluster random model). The ideal crystalline graphite is modeled without any pores for reference. The 20%-porous reactor graphite with monoatomic random pore is modeled by randomly removing atoms from the ideal crystalline graphite. The 20%-porous reactor graphite with cluster random pore is modeled by randomly removing atomic clusters of approximately 2 nm in diameter from the ideal crystalline graphite. Their interatomic interactions are on the basis of Reactive Empirical Bond Order (REBO) potential. Velocity autocorrelation functions and phonon density of states distributions are calculated for these models. For validation, specific heat for each model is evaluated, and they are compred with experimental values.

論文

Simulation-based dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of an internal flooding-initiated accident in nuclear power plant using THALES2 and RAPID

久保 光太郎; Zheng, X.; 田中 洋一; 玉置 等史; 杉山 智之; Jang, S.*; 高田 孝*; 山口 彰*

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O; Journal of Risk and Reliability, 237(5), p.947 - 957, 2023/10

 被引用回数:4 パーセンタイル:69.72(Engineering, Multidisciplinary)

確率論的リスク評価(Probabilistic Risk Assessment: PRA)は、大規模かつ複雑なシステムのリスクを評価するために用いられる手法である。しかし、従来のイベントツリーやフォールトツリーを用いたPRAでは、原子力発電所の構造物、系統及び機器が損傷するタイミングを考慮することは困難である。そこで、この課題を解決するために、RAPID(Risk Assessment with Plant Interactive Dynamics)を用いて、熱水力解析と外部事象のシミュレーションを組み合わせた手法を提案した。加圧水型原子炉のタービン建屋内での内部溢水を表現するために、ベルヌーイの定理に基づいた溢水伝播モデルを適用した。加えて、溢水源の流量や緩和システムの故障基準などの不確実さを考慮した。シミュレーションでは、運転員がいくつか簡略化を行うことにより、運転員による溢水源の隔離操作と排水ポンプを用いた回復操作をモデル化した。その結果、隔離と排水を組み合わせることで、溢水発生時の条件付炉心損傷確率を約90%低減できることが示された。

論文

Solubility of FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr) at 318 K in the presence of iron

吉田 泰*; 北村 暁; 澁谷 早苗*

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 60(8), p.900 - 910, 2023/08

 被引用回数:0 パーセンタイル:0.01(Nuclear Science & Technology)

The concentration of Se equilibrated with FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr) was determined by solubility experiments under reducing conditions and 318 $$pm$$ 1 K. Agreement between the solubility data obtained from the over and under saturation directions suggested the attainment of equilibrium. FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr) phase only formed. The log$$_{10}$$$${it K}$$$$^{0}$$ values of -5.0 $$pm$$ 1.4 and -14.9 $$pm$$ 1.5 for the FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr) solubility reactions respectively were determined. Moreover, the selenium solubility was discussed. At the experimental conditions corresponding to the typical pH and Eh of anoxic groundwater and the equilibrium with stable FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr), the Se solubilities were remained as constant in spite of the linear relationship between iron concentrations with pH. This indicated that Se was consumed before the formation of FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr). This behavior indicated that consideration of reaction paths to equilibrium with FeSe$$_{2}$$(cr) is necessary for an estimation of Se solubility for performance assessment in geological disposal system.

論文

Accident sequence precursor analysis of an incident in a Japanese nuclear power plant based on dynamic probabilistic risk assessment

久保 光太郎

Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations, 2023, p.7402217_1 - 7402217_12, 2023/06

 被引用回数:0 パーセンタイル:0.01(Nuclear Science & Technology)

Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is an effective methodology that could be used to improve the safety of nuclear power plants in a reasonable manner. Dynamic PRA, as an advanced PRA allows for more realistic and detailed analyses by handling time-dependent information. However, the applications of this method to practical problems are limited because it remains in the research and development stage. This study aimed to investigate the possibility of utilizing dynamic PRA in risk-informed decision-making. Specifically, the author performed an accident sequence precursor (ASP) analysis on the failure of emergency diesel generators that occurred at Unit 1 of the Tomari Nuclear Power Plant in Japan using dynamic PRA. The results were evaluated by comparison with the results of simplified classical PRA. The findings indicated that dynamic PRA may estimate lower risks compared with those obtained from classical PRA by reasonable modeling of alternating current power recovery. The author also showed that dynamic PRA can provide detailed information that cannot be obtained with classical PRA, such as uncertainty distribution of core damage timing and importance measure considering the system failure timing.

論文

Development of dynamic PRA methodology for external hazards in sodium-cooled fast reactor via applying Markov chain Monte Carlo method to severe accident analysis code; Assessment of accident management of assigning independent emergency diesel generators to each air cooler

Li, C.-Y.; 渡部 晃*; 内堀 昭寛; 岡野 靖

Proceedings of 30th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE30) (Internet), 10 Pages, 2023/05

Quantitative assessment of the effect of accident management on the various external hazards is essential in the nuclear safety analysis. This study aims to establish the dynamic probabilistic risk assessment methodology for sodium-cooled fast reactors that can consider the transient plant status under continuous external hazards with corresponding countermeasures operating stochastically. Specifically, the Continuous Markov chain Monte Carlo (CMMC) and Deterministic and Stochastic Petri Nets (DSPN) methods are newly applied to the severe accident analysis code, SPECTRA, which can conduct dynamic plant evaluation in the different severe accident conditions of nuclear reactors, to develop an evaluation methodology for typical external hazards. In the DSPN-CMMC-SPECTRA coupled frame, the latest safety functions of the plant components/systems can be stochastically determined by the DSPN-CMMC grounded on the current plant states under continuous hazard and the interaction between the multi-state components/systems; then, SPECTRA can evaluate the following plant state determined by the latest safety function of the components/systems. Therefore, the advantage of this newly developed DSPN-CMMC-SPECTRA frame is having the capability to quantitatively and stochastically evaluate the transient accident progressions that potentially lead to the core damage under the continuous external hazard scenario. As for the preliminary exam on the DSPN-CMMC-SPECTRA frame, one of the typical external hazards of continuous volcanic ashfall is selected in this research. In addition, the numerical investigation of alternative accident management' effects has also been carried out and quantitatively confirmed in this research.

論文

Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of seismic-induced flooding in pressurized water reactor by seismic, flooding, and thermal-hydraulics simulations

久保 光太郎; Jang, S.*; 高田 孝*; 山口 彰*

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 60(4), p.359 - 373, 2023/04

 被引用回数:5 パーセンタイル:78.52(Nuclear Science & Technology)

確率論的リスク評価(PRA)は、原子力発電所の安全性を向上させるための重要なアプローチである。しかし、この手法では、複合ハザードのモデル化は困難である。地震に起因した溢水シナリオでは、地震による炉心損傷、溢水による炉心損傷、地震と溢水が組み合わさった炉心損傷といった複数の炉心損傷シーケンスを含んでいる。溢水に係るフラジリティは、溢水がタンクなどの水源から区画に伝播するため、時間依存性を有している。そのため、現実的なリスク評価及び定量化を行うためには、動的リスク評価を用いる必要がある。本研究では、地震,溢水,熱水力シミュレーションを連成させ、複数ハザード間の依存関係を明示的に考慮し、地震起因溢水のリスク評価を行った。特に、福島第一原子力発電所事故を踏まえた安全性向上対策に注目し、システムの耐力に関する感度解析と可搬型ポンプを用いた蒸気発生器代替注水の効果を評価した。我々は、シミュレーションに基づく動的PRA手法の複合ハザード起因のリスクの評価への使用を実証した。

論文

Proof-of-principle experiment for testing strong-field quantum electrodynamics with exotic atoms; High precision X-ray spectroscopy of muonic neon

奥村 拓馬*; 橋本 直; 他40名*

Physical Review Letters, 130(17), p.173001_1 - 173001_7, 2023/04

 被引用回数:1 パーセンタイル:83.24(Physics, Multidisciplinary)

To test bound-state quantum electrodynamics (BSQED) in the strong-field regime, we have performed high-precision X-ray spectroscopy of the 5$$g$$-4$$f$$ and 5$$f$$-4$$d$$ transitions (BSQED contribution of 2.4 eV and 5.2 eV, respectively) of muonic neon atoms in the low-pressure gas phase without bound electrons. Muonic atoms have been recently proposed as an alternative to few-electron high-Z ions for BSQED tests by focusing on circular Rydberg states where nuclear contributions are negligibly small. We determined the $$5g_{9/2}$$-$$4f_{7/2}$$ transition energy to be 6297.08 $$pm$$ 0.04 (stat.) $$pm$$ 0.13 (syst.) eV using superconducting transition-edge sensor microcalorimeters (5.2-5.5 eV FWHM resolution), which agrees well with the most advanced BSQED theoretical prediction of 6297.26 eV.

論文

Unexpected dynamic transformation from $$alpha$$ phase to $$beta$$ phase in zirconium alloy revealed by in-situ neutron diffraction during high temperature deformation

Guo, B.*; Mao, W.; Chong, Y.*; 柴田 曉伸*; Harjo, S.; Gong, W.; Chen, H.*; Jonas, J. J.*; 辻 伸泰*

Acta Materialia, 242, p.118427_1 - 118427_11, 2023/01

 被引用回数:7 パーセンタイル:64.46(Materials Science, Multidisciplinary)

Dynamic transformation from alpha (HCP) to beta (BCC) phase in a zirconium alloy was revealed by the use of in-situ neutron diffraction during hot compression. The dynamic transformation was unexpectedly detected during isothermal compression at temperatures of 900$$^{circ}$$C and 950$$^{circ}$$C (alpha + beta two-phase region) and strain rates of 0.01 s$$^{-1}$$ and 0.001 s$$^{-1}$$, even though equilibrium two-phase states were achieved prior to the hot compression. Dynamic transformation was accompanied by diffusion of Sn from beta to alpha phase, which resulted in changes of lattice parameters and a characteristic microstructure of alpha grains. The details of dynamic transformation are discussed using the evolution of lattice constants.

論文

Experimental evidence for the significance of optical phonons in thermal transport of tin monosulfide

Wu, P.*; 村井 直樹; Li, T.*; 梶本 亮一; 中村 充孝; 古府 麻衣子; 中島 健次; Xia, K.*; Peng, K.*; Zhang, Y.*; et al.

New Journal of Physics (Internet), 25(1), p.013032_1 - 013032_11, 2023/01

 被引用回数:0 パーセンタイル:0(Physics, Multidisciplinary)

The understanding of the lattice dynamics is essential for engineering the thermal transport properties in quantum materials. Based on the canonical point of view, acoustic phonons are believed to be the principal thermal carriers in heat flow. Here, in this work, optical phonons are elucidated to play a pivotal role in determining the lattice thermal conductivity in thermoelectric material SnS by using the state-of-the-art inelastic neutron scattering technique combined with first-principles calculations. Additionally, in contrast to acoustic phonons, optical phonons are observed to exhibit pronounced softening and broadening with temperature. Our observations not only shed light on the significance of the optical phonons in thermal transport but also provide a vital clue to suppress the propagation of optical phonons to optimize the thermoelectric performance of SnS.

論文

The Development of Petri Net-based continuous Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology applying to dynamic probability risk assessment for multi-state resilience systems with repairable multi-component interdependency under longtermly thereat

Li, C.-Y.; 渡部 晃*; 内堀 昭寛; 岡野 靖

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 23 Pages, 2023/00

 被引用回数:1 パーセンタイル:72.91(Nuclear Science & Technology)

For all the nuclear reactor systems, quantitative assessment of the accident management (AM) effects against long-term external hazards became one of the essential issues after the lesson learned from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. However, the influence from the safety systems' stochastic and dynamic shifting between multiple working states, which is related to the interaction with the adjacent components/systems in general, has not been accounted for yet. Therefore, this research aims to develop a dynamic probability risk assessment tool considering repairable multi-component interdependency for investigating the AM influences on the multi-state safety systems under long-term external hazards. Based on the newly proposed methodology in this research via integrating the Petri Net (PN) model with the continuous Markov chain Monte Carlo (CMMC) method, a framework applying PN-CMMC methodology to a severe accident analysis code, SPECTRA, had been originally constructed. Different AM influences on the multi-state decay heat removal systems against long-term volcanic ashfall were also quantitatively confirmed, indicating that halving the repairing time is more influential in suppressing the core damage frequency than doubling the number of adjacent electricity support systems. Therefore, the PN-CMMC-SPECTRA framework can further assess the uncharted dynamic multi-state concerns, leading to a safer AM strategy.

論文

Quantification of risk dilution induced by correlation parameters in dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants

久保 光太郎; 田中 洋一*; 石川 淳

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O; Journal of Risk and Reliability, 11 Pages, 2023/00

 被引用回数:1 パーセンタイル:0.01(Engineering, Multidisciplinary)

Nuclear power plants are critical infrastructures that provide electricity. However, accidents in nuclear power plants can cause considerable consequences such as the release of radioactive materials. Therefore, appropriately managing their risk is necessary. Various nuclear regulatory agencies employ probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) to effectively evaluate risks in nuclear power plants. Dynamic PRA has gained popularity because it allows for more realistic assessment by reducing the assumptions and engineering judgments related to time-dependent failure probability and/or human-action reliability in the conventional PRA methodology. However, removing all assumptions and engineering judgments is difficult; thus, the risk analyst, e.g., the regulator, must understand their effects on the assessment results. This study focuses on "risk dilution," which emerges from the assumptions about uncertainty. Dynamic PRA of a station blackout sequence in a boiling-water reactor was performed using the dynamic PRA tool, namely, Risk Assessment with Plant Interactive Dynamics (RAPID) and the severe-accident code Thermal-Hydraulic Analysis of Loss of Coolant, Emergency Core Cooling, and Severe Core Damage version 2 (THALES2), which altered the correlation parameters among the uncertainties of the events that occurred in sequence. The results demonstrated that the conditional core-damage probability and mean value of the core-damage time varied from 0.27 to 0.47 and from 7.1 to 8.7 h, respectively. When the dynamic PRA results are used for risk-informed decision making, the decision maker should adequately consider the effect of risk dilution.

論文

CFD analysis on stratification dissolution and breakup of the air-helium gas mixture by natural convection in a large-scale enclosed vessel

Hamdani, A.; 安部 諭; 石垣 将宏; 柴本 泰照; 与能本 泰介

Progress in Nuclear Energy, 153, p.104415_1 - 104415_16, 2022/11

 被引用回数:3 パーセンタイル:68.71(Nuclear Science & Technology)

This paper describes the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis and validation works from the previous experimental study on the natural convection driven by outer surface cooling in the presence of density stratification consisting of air and helium (as a mimic gas of hydrogen). The experiment was conducted in the Containment InteGral effects Measurement Apparatus (CIGMA) facility at Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA). The numerical simulation was carried out to analyze the detailed effect of the cooling region on the erosion of the helium stratification layer. The temporal and spatial evolution of the helium concentration and the gas temperature inside the containment vessel was predicted and validated against the experimental data. In addition, two stratification behaviors that depend on the cooling location were presented and discussed. The CFD simulation confirmed that an upper head cooling caused two counter-rotating vortexes in the helium-rich zone. Meanwhile, the upper half body cooling caused two counter-rotating vortexes in the helium-poor zone. These findings are important to understand the mechanism of the density stratification process driven by natural convection in the containment vessel.

論文

The OECD/NEA Working Group on the Analysis and Management of Accidents (WGAMA); Advances in codes and analyses to support safety demonstration of nuclear technology innovations

中村 秀夫; Bentaib, A.*; Herranz, L. E.*; Ruyer, P.*; Mascari, F.*; Jacquemain, D.*; Adorni, M.*

Proceedings of International Conference on Topical Issues in Nuclear Installation Safety; Strengthening Safety of Evolutionary and Innovative Reactor Designs (TIC 2022) (Internet), 10 Pages, 2022/10

The WGAMA activity achievements have been published as technical reports, becoming reference materials to discuss innovative methods, materials and technologies in the fields of thermal-hydraulics, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and severe accidents (SAs). The International Standard Problems (ISPs) and Benchmarks of computer codes have been supported by a huge amount of the databases for the code validation necessary for the reactor safety assessment with accuracy. The paper aims to review and summarize the recent WGAMA outcomes with focus on new advanced reactor applications including small modular reactors (SMRs). Particularly, discussed are applicability of major outcomes in the relevant subjects of passive system, modelling innovation in CFD, severe accident management (SAM) countermeasures, advanced measurement methods and instrumentation, and modelling robustness of safety analysis codes. Although large portions of the outcomes are considered applicable, design-specific subjects may need careful considerations when applied. The WGAMA efforts, experiences and achievements for the safety assessment of operating nuclear power plants including SA will be of great help for the continuous safety improvements required for the advanced reactors including SMRs.

論文

Uncertainty analysis of dynamic PRA using nested Monte Carlo simulations and multi-fidelity models

Zheng, X.; 玉置 等史; 高原 省五; 杉山 智之; 丸山 結

Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM16) (Internet), 10 Pages, 2022/09

Uncertainty gives rise to the risk. For nuclear power plants, probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) systematically concludes what people know to estimate the uncertainty in the form of, for example, risk triplet. Capable of developing a definite risk profile for decision-making under uncertainty, dynamic PRA widely applies explicit modeling techniques such as simulation to scenario generation as well as the estimation of likelihood/probability and consequences. When quantifying risk, however, epistemic uncertainties exist in both PRA and dynamic PRA, as a result of the lack of knowledge and model simplification. The paper aims to propose a practical approach for the treatment of uncertainty associated with dynamic PRA. The main idea is to perform the uncertainty analysis by using a two-stage nested Monte Carlo method, and to alleviate the computational burden of the nested Monte Carlo simulation, multi-fidelity models are introduced to the dynamic PRA. Multi-fidelity models include a mechanistic severe accident code MELCOR2.2 and machine learning models. A simplified station blackout (SBO) scenario was chosen as an example to show practicability of the proposed approach. As a result, while successfully calculating the probability of large early release, the analysis is also capable to provide uncertainty information in the form probability distributions. The approach can be expected to clarify questions such as how reliable are results of dynamic PRA.

論文

Development of dynamic PRA methodology for external hazards (Application of CMMC method to severe accident analysis code)

Li, C.-Y.; 渡部 晃*; 内堀 昭寛; 岡野 靖

第26回動力・エネルギー技術シンポジウム講演論文集(インターネット), 4 Pages, 2022/07

シビアアクシデントに至る可能性のある事故シナリオを同定し、その発生頻度を評価することは重要な課題である。本研究ではナトリウム冷却高速炉を対象とし、時間依存や事象の相互依存性を考慮できる動的PRA評価手法の確立を目指す。具体的には過酷事故解析コードSPECTRAに対して新たに連続マルコフ連鎖モンテカルロ(CMMC)を適用し、外部ハザードに対する解析手法を開発する。現在、崩壊熱除去系における空気冷却器のフォルトツリーモデルをCMMCとして実装し、火山降灰に対するプラント過渡特性の試行解析が終了した。

論文

Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants using multi-fidelity simulations

Zheng, X.; 玉置 等史; 杉山 智之; 丸山 結

Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 223, p.108503_1 - 108503_12, 2022/07

 被引用回数:17 パーセンタイル:91.89(Engineering, Industrial)

Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) more explicitly treats timing issues and stochastic elements of risk models. It extensively resorts to iterative simulations of accident progressions for the quantification of risk triplets including accident scenarios, probabilities and consequences. Dynamic PRA leverages the level of detail for risk modeling while intricately increases computational complexities, which result in heavy computational cost. This paper proposes to apply multi-fidelity simulations for a cost- effective dynamic PRA. It applies and improves the multi-fidelity importance sampling (MFIS) algorithm to generate cost-effective samples of nuclear reactor accident sequences. Sampled accident sequences are paralleled simulated by using mechanistic codes, which is treated as a high-fidelity model. Adaptively trained by using the high-fidelity data, low-fidelity model is used to predicting simulation results. Interested predictions with reactor core damages are sorted out to build the density function of the biased distribution for importance sampling. After when collect enough number of high-fidelity data, risk triplets can be estimated. By solving a demonstration problem and a practical PRA problem by using MELCOR 2.2, the approach has been proven to be effective for risk assessment. Comparing with previous studies, the proposed multi-fidelity approach provides comparative estimation of risk triplets, while significantly reduces computational cost.

論文

J-PARCにおける加速器駆動核変換システム(ADS)の研究開発,5; ADS用超伝導リニアックの研究開発

近藤 恭弘; 武井 早憲; Yee-Rendon, B.; 田村 潤

プラズマ・核融合学会誌, 98(5), p.222 - 226, 2022/05

ADSの要求を満たすドライバリニアックを実現するためには超伝導加速空洞が必須であり、従来常伝導を採用していた低エネルギー部について、近年の特に低エネルギー用の超伝導加速空洞開発の進展を反映した再設計を行った。また、最も使用実績の少ないスポーク型空洞について試作機による開発を行っている。本稿では、これら日本原子力研究開発機構における最新のADS用リニアックの研究開発について報告する。

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